Clutch9800 wrote:Maricopa doesn't even border Mexico. Why isn't there a similar rise in crime inside urban Phoenix, or Tuscon, or San Diego and subsequent lack of drop of violent crime? Where are the parallels? Where are your facts?
Golly. I honestly cannot respond to that with a civil tongue.
Crissa. Keep your feet on the ground, but keep reaching for the stars.
Clutch
Crissa's statement is virtually incoherent, what with Phoenix being in Maricopa county and all. I'll translate:
You said that Maricopa's rising crime rate could be chalked up to crime washing over from Mexico. That's a claim that can be refuted by "No it can't" and other similar refutations unless you supply some evidence to back up the causal relationship between Mexicans and crime in that area.
And that's really hard. First of all, while correlation does not imply causation, but correlation is virtually required to take causation seriously. That is, it's entirely possible for two events to coincide as pure coincidence without one causing the other, but if one causes the other they pretty much have to coincide. So if the influence of the Mexican near civil war is what is driving crime up in Maricopa, shouldn't we be seeing similar if not
greater crime increases in Pima an Santa Cruz counties? They are physically closer to Mexico, after all. Shouldn't we also be seeing similar crime spikes in major urban areas of other states with comparable or greater Mexican influence? Such as San Diego, Austin, and Albuquerque?
If we
don't see comparable crime rises, and from where I'm standing we certainly do not seem to, the claim that the Mexican influence is driving crime into red lines specifically in Maricopa County and not other places seems... unlikely.
Remember, if the Mexican influence and the crime were rising together, there could still be other explanations. Maybe crime was driving prices down and poorer residents (like Hispanics) were moving there, for example. But if the Mexican influence and the crime were
not rising together, then blaming one on the other is completely specious.
-Username17